Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altay win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altay win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
