Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
