Despite their excellent home record, we think that Karagumruk will struggle on Sunday, when they face a side that are in imperious form, and we believe Trabzonspor have enough quality to claim their seventh consecutive victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 33.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
