Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
Result | ||
Hatayspor | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
47.28% ( 0.18) | 24.09% ( -0.03) | 28.62% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 57.85% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% ( 0.06) | 44.2% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.42% ( 0.06) | 66.58% ( -0.06) |
Hatayspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.16% ( 0.1) | 18.84% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.72% ( 0.16) | 50.28% ( -0.16) |
Caykur Rizespor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.28% ( -0.08) | 28.72% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.45% ( -0.09) | 64.55% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Hatayspor | Draw | Caykur Rizespor |
2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.28% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.63% |
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