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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
2 - 0
Caykur Rizespor

FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Besiktas 2-2 Hatayspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 2-1 Caykur Rizespor

With their season potentially hinging on the outcome of Sunday's clash, we expect Hatayspor to throw in the kitchen sink in search of all three points. We predict that Pulat's men will take the positives from their draw at Besiktas and come away with a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawCaykur Rizespor
47.28% (0.183 0.18) 24.09% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 28.62% (-0.15 -0.15)
Both teams to score 57.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.058 0.06)44.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.059000000000005 0.06)66.58% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.097999999999999 0.1)18.84% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (0.164 0.16)50.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
Caykur Rizespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.28% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)28.72% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.45% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)64.55% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 47.28%
    Caykur Rizespor 28.63%
    Draw 24.09%
HataysporDrawCaykur Rizespor
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 47.28%
1-1 @ 11.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.09%
1-2 @ 7.03% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Besiktas 2-2 Hatayspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 2-1 Ankaragucu
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Istanbul
Saturday, April 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-3 Istanbulspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Pendikspor 2-1 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, May 12 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-2 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 2-2 Ankaragucu
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Caykur Rizespor 3-0 Antalyaspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig


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