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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 34
Apr 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu
IB

Hatayspor
1 - 2
Istanbul

Dadasov (73')
Rivas (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Piatek (5'), Kemen (69')
Atan (0'), Ilkhan (23'), Souza (25'), Duarte (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

Given their form heading into this one, Basaksehir are favourites to carry the day but Hatayspor are, by no means, any pushovers in front of their fans. We can see the teams cancelling each other over the course of the 90 minutes to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
38.52% (0.791 0.79) 25.74% (-0.211 -0.21) 35.73% (-0.581 -0.58)
Both teams to score 55.06% (0.672 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (0.878 0.88)49.08% (-0.88 -0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.787 0.79)71.16% (-0.789 -0.79)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.99% (0.836 0.84)25% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.33% (1.145 1.15)59.66% (-1.147 -1.15)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.076000000000008 0.08)26.57% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.2% (0.10100000000001 0.1)61.79% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 38.53%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 35.73%
    Draw 25.73%
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.38% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.91% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.103 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.02% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 38.53%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.243 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.302 -0.3)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.58% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Antalyaspor 2-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, April 21 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-3 Istanbulspor
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Hatayspor
Tuesday, April 2 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-0 Samsunspor
Sunday, March 17 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, March 10 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 0-2 Fenerbahce
Saturday, March 2 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, April 21 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Pendikspor 2-3 Istanbul
Sunday, April 14 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-1 Besiktas
Thursday, April 4 at 6.30pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-1 Istanbul
Saturday, March 16 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Antalyaspor
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Samsunspor
Sunday, March 3 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig


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