SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
| 13 | Galatasaray | 38 | -2 | 52 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Gaziantep | 38 | -8 | 46 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 38 | -6 | 45 |
| 17 | Caykur Rizespor | 38 | -27 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
51.54% ( 0.67) | 24.39% ( 0.05) | 24.07% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.01% ( -0.88) | 48.99% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% ( -0.8) | 71.07% ( 0.8) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81% ( -0.07) | 19% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.45% ( -0.12) | 50.54% ( 0.12) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( -1.11) | 34.85% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.41% ( -1.19) | 71.58% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Giresunspor |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.12% Total : 51.54% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.08% Total : 24.07% |
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