Hatayspor are yet to lose a home league game in 2022 and with Sivasspor's potentially distracted by their upcoming Turkish Cup semi-final, we think that the hosts will reignite their push for the top four with a victory on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
