Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 41%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
