Besiktas head into the weekend looking to make a positive immediate response to picking up their first defeat of the season. They take on a floundering Istanbulspor side, and given the gulf in quality and experience between the teams, we are backing the visitors to ease to all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Istanbulspor win it was 1-0 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
-1.18) 
2.12) 
