Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 54.41%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 23.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
1.18) 
-0.46) 
