Kasimpasa will be looking for a positive response after their winning run was ended by Fatih Karagumruk, but we think that they will fall short when they face an Adana Demirspor side that currently hold the fourth best away record in the Super Lig.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Adana Demirspor had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adana Demirspor win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
