Kasimpasa enter the contest in imperious form, but the hosts have proven to be a tough team to beat in their last four home matches, and we think that Fatih Karagumruk will be able to hold the visitors to a point on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
