SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Caykur Rizespor | 38 | -27 | 36 |
| 18 | Altay | 38 | -18 | 34 |
| 19 | Goztepe SK | 38 | -37 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 2 | 54 |
| 11 | Kasimpasa | 38 | 10 | 53 |
| 12 | Hatayspor | 38 | -4 | 53 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 40%. A win for Altay had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Altay win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kasimpasa would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altay | Draw | Kasimpasa |
35.2% ( -1.11) | 24.8% ( 0.07) | 40% ( 1.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.28% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( -0.47) | 44.9% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( -0.45) | 67.25% ( 0.45) |
| Altay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -0.84) | 24.91% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( -1.18) | 59.53% ( 1.17) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( 0.31) | 22.38% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.12% ( 0.46) | 55.88% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altay | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.2% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 40% |
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