Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pendikspor win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pendikspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Istanbul Basaksehir would win this match.
Result | ||
Pendikspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
37.42% ( 0.46) | 26.78% ( 0.01) | 35.8% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.51% ( -0.07) | 53.48% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.99% ( -0.06) | 75% ( 0.06) |
Pendikspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.32% ( 0.23) | 27.67% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.77% ( 0.3) | 63.23% ( -0.3) |
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.36% ( -0.32) | 28.63% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.55% ( -0.4) | 64.44% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Pendikspor | Draw | Istanbul Basaksehir |
1-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 12.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.66% Total : 35.8% |
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