SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbulspor win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbulspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
44.51% ( 7.02) | 24.94% ( -0.83) | 30.55% ( -6.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.19% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( 2.21) | 46.92% ( -2.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( 2.03) | 69.17% ( -2.03) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( 4.48) | 21.12% ( -4.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.05% ( 6.52) | 53.95% ( -6.51) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.24% ( -2.75) | 28.76% ( 2.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.4% ( -3.57) | 64.6% ( 3.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Hatayspor |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.83)2-0 @ 7.35% ( 1.16)3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.96)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 1)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.56)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.52)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.59% Total : 44.51% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.58)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -1.4) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.89)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -1.32)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.65)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.75)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.29)Other @ 2.61% Total : 30.55% |
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