We said: Trabzonspor 2-1 Kayserispor
Yet to taste defeat at home in the league this season, Trabzonspor enter Friday's contest as favourites, and we think that they will prevail against a Kayserispor side that have struggled away from home with the hosts aiming to continue their fine run of form as they close in on the Super Lig title.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 73.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.