Yet to taste defeat at home in the league this season, Trabzonspor enter Friday's contest as favourites, and we think that they will prevail against a Kayserispor side that have struggled away from home with the hosts aiming to continue their fine run of form as they close in on the Super Lig title.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 73.74%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 9.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 3-0 (10.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.03%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
