Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 56.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.