Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.