Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
