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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2021 at 6pm UK
Malatya Inonu Stadium

Yeni M'spor
3 - 4
Karagumruk

Tetteh (18'), Eskihellac (24'), Chouiar (40')
Ciftpinar (48'), N'Dong (49'), Nshimirimana (55'), Chouiar (67'), Awuku Gameli (83'), Aabid (90+9')
Nshimirimana (61')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Bertolacci (30', 88'), Pesic (44', 76')
Oztumer (23'), Zukanovic (57'), Bertolacci (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Yeni MalatyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
41.66%26.08%32.26%
Both teams to score 53.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82%51.18%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98%73.02%
Yeni Malatyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.31%58.69%
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.25%29.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.18%65.82%
Score Analysis
    Yeni Malatyaspor 41.66%
    Fatih Karagumruk 32.26%
    Draw 26.08%
Yeni MalatyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.46%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 41.66%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.77%
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.26%

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