Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
