Basel
3 - 2
Luzern

Arthur (11'), Zhegrova (36'), Stocker (77')
Zhegrova (21'), Pululu (70'), Bunjaku (73')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Schaub (34'), Alves (59')
Ndenge (15'), Sidler (35'), Knezevic (42'), Burki (60'), Ugrinic (70')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Luzern win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	Luzern
58.5%	22.44%	19.06%

Both teams to score 51.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.34%

46.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.07%

68.93%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37%

15.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36%

44.63%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.55%

38.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.8%

75.2%

Score Analysis

Basel 58.5%

Luzern 19.06%

Draw 22.44%

Basel	Draw	Luzern
1-0 @ 11.15% 2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 6.12% 4-0 @ 2.97% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 1.36% 5-0 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.32% Total : 58.5%	1-1 @ 10.66% 0-0 @ 6.01% 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.44%	0-1 @ 5.74% 1-2 @ 5.09% 0-2 @ 2.75% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.06%