Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.