Basel
4 - 1
Luzern

Petretta (33'), Frei (74'), Zhegrova (88'), Durrer (90+5')
Hunziker (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Schaub (55')
Schaub (38'), N'Diaye (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	Luzern
42.26%	23.4%	34.34%

Both teams to score 63.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.63%

38.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.34%

60.66%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.43%

18.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.16%

49.84%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.65%

22.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.16%

55.84%

Score Analysis

Basel 42.26%

Luzern 34.34%

Draw 23.4%

Basel	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 6.99% 2-0 @ 5.88% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-2 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.59% Total : 42.26%	1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.6% 0-0 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.4%	1-2 @ 7.85% 0-1 @ 6.22% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 3.92% 2-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.33% 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.37% Total : 34.34%