Lugano
2 - 1
Basel

Lovric (60'), Bottani (76')
Sabbatini (3'), Lovric (15'), Lavanchy (71')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arthur (22')
Widmer (2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Basel
27.8%	24.88%	47.31%

Both teams to score 54.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.82%

48.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.66%

70.33%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.63%

31.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.26%

67.74%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59%

20.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.16%

52.84%

Score Analysis

Lugano 27.8%

Basel 47.31%

Draw 24.87%

Lugano	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 4.3% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.8%	1-1 @ 11.79% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 9.37% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.97% 0-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.7% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.74% Total : 47.31%