Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.