Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.