Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.