Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Basel had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.