Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	St Gallen
32.5% ( -0.43)	24.7% ( 0.01)	42.8% ( 0.42)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.91% (

-0.17)

45.08% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.56% (

-0.16)

67.43% (

0.16)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.39% (

-0.35)

26.6% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

-0.46)

61.82% (

0.46)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.87% (

0.12)

21.12% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.03% (

0.19)

53.96% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 32.5%

St Gallen 42.8%

Draw 24.69%

FC Zurich	Draw	St Gallen
2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.5%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.69%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.8%