SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Basel had a probability of 38.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.35%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
38.63% ( -2.27) | 23.24% ( 0.24) | 38.12% ( 2.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.41% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.93% ( -1.04) | 37.07% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.74% ( -1.14) | 59.26% ( 1.14) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.37% ( -1.45) | 19.63% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.42% ( -2.41) | 51.58% ( 2.42) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.51) | 19.86% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.03% ( 0.82) | 51.97% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Gallen | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.33)3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.28% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.24% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.3) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.41)0-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.26)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.12)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.21% Total : 38.12% |
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