SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 28.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
47.43% ( -0.34) | 24.05% ( 0.1) | 28.51% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( -0.29) | 44.1% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( -0.29) | 66.48% ( 0.29) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( -0.25) | 18.73% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.89% ( -0.42) | 50.11% ( 0.42) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( 0.02) | 28.75% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.42% ( 0.02) | 64.58% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.35% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.51% |
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