Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
