Luzern's experience at this level gives them the edge over their relatively inexperienced opponents. Nonetheless, we expect a keenly-contested affair with the home side narrowly securing all three points in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 60.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luzern in this match.
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