SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 38.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.38%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
38.11% ( -1.92) | 23.77% ( 0.09) | 38.12% ( 1.84) |
| Both teams to score 62.37% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.3% ( -0.31) | 39.7% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.95% ( -0.32) | 62.05% ( 0.32) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( -1.04) | 21.03% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.19% ( -1.65) | 53.81% ( 1.65) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( 0.78) | 21.02% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( 1.2) | 53.8% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.26)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.23)1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.13)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.8% Total : 38.12% |
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