SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
47.75% ( -0.09) | 22.22% ( -0) | 30.03% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 65.59% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.56% ( 0.08) | 34.44% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.64% ( 0.09) | 56.36% ( -0.09) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.07% ( 0) | 14.93% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.68% ( -0) | 43.32% ( 0) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( 0.09) | 22.9% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.34% ( 0.14) | 56.66% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 47.75% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.03% |
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