Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 0-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Servette in this match.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
