SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Servette | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Basel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Luzern | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | St Gallen | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Servette | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Basel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Servette had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Servette win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
61.59% ( -0.49) | 20.19% ( 0.26) | 18.22% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.18% ( -0.85) | 37.82% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.93% ( -0.91) | 60.07% ( 0.91) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.16% ( -0.39) | 11.84% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.9% ( -0.84) | 37.1% ( 0.83) |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.26) | 34.15% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( -0.28) | 70.84% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Servette |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 61.59% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 18.22% |
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