SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Lugano win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
| 48.96% | 25.18% | 25.86% |
| Both teams to score 52.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.23% | 50.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.34% | 72.66% |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% | 20.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.61% | 53.38% |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% | 34.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.02% | 70.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Servette | Draw | Lugano |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.8% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.94% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.58% Total : 48.96% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.11% 2-2 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.62% 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.86% |
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