Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 25.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.
