Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
