Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 0-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
