Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.66%. A win for Vaduz had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Vaduz win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
