Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 59.61%. A win for Servette had a probability of 20.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (5.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.