Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Uniao de Leiria had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Uniao de Leiria win it was 0-1 (6.09%).