While Boavista and Rio Ave have run out of steam in recent weeks, they have an outside chance of securing a spot in Europe. With that said, both sides head into the weekend knowing defeat could effectively spell the end of their European ambitions. We predict they will take a cautious approach to the game and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (10.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.

Result
Boavista	Draw	Rio Ave
40.07% ( -0.01)	27.5% ( -0)	32.42% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

0.02)

56.76% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

0.01)

77.71% (

-0.01)

Boavista Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.28% (

-0)

27.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.71% (

-0)

63.29% (

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.53% (

0.02)

32.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

0.02)

68.99% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Boavista 40.07%

Rio Ave 32.42%

Draw 27.5%

Boavista	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.56% 3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.07%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.42%