A closely-fought contest is set to be played out between the two teams on Friday, but Boavista will be regarded as the slight favourites despite their poor away record and they should have enough quality in the final third to edge past a struggling Gil Vicente side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.03) 
