SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
64.15% ( -0.06) | 20.46% ( 0.01) | 15.4% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.74% ( 0.07) | 44.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.37% ( 0.06) | 66.63% ( -0.06) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.92% ( 0) | 13.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.31% ( 0) | 39.69% ( -0) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% ( 0.11) | 41.44% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% ( 0.1) | 77.95% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.7% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.41% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.05% Total : 64.14% | 1-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.4% |
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