Both teams can take positives out of their recent results, Boavista more so than Estoril. Nevertheless, with the visitors easing the pressure on themselves last time out, we feel that playing with a greater freedom here will see them earn a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 64.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 15.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
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