Casa Pia
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Neto (7'), Vaz Afonso Fernandes (14'), Vito (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duarte (26')
Handel (6'), Soares (21'), Sacko (41'), Rochinha (52'), Borevkovic (61'), Fernandes (83')
Rochinha (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Second Round clash between Casa Pia and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.52%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
16.81%	24.95%	58.23%

Both teams to score 41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81%

59.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.39%

79.61%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.46%

48.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.38%

83.62%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.67%

20.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.28%

52.72%

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 16.81%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 58.23%

Draw 24.95%

Casa Pia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.13% 2-1 @ 4.11% 2-0 @ 2.58% 3-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.01% Total : 16.81%	1-1 @ 11.36% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 15.72% 0-2 @ 12.52% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-3 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 4.81% 0-4 @ 2.65% 1-4 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.19% Total : 58.23%