SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
| 50.87% | 27.19% | 21.94% |
| Both teams to score 42.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.91% | 61.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.94% | 81.06% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.74% | 24.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.38% | 58.62% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.29% | 43.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.12% | 79.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 15.01% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.8% 3-0 @ 5.02% 3-1 @ 4.16% 4-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.27% Total : 50.86% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 8.78% 1-2 @ 5.14% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.01% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.97% Total : 21.94% |
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