Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
