Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 2-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
17.8%	20.3%	61.89%

Both teams to score 56.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.92%

39.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.59%

61.41%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.63%

35.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.87%

72.12%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86%

12.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.26%

37.74%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.8%

Benfica 61.89%

Draw 20.3%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 4.89% 1-0 @ 4.46% 2-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.79% 3-1 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.65% Total : 17.8%	1-1 @ 9.41% 2-2 @ 5.16% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.3%	1-2 @ 9.92% 0-2 @ 9.55% 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-3 @ 6.98% 0-3 @ 6.71% 1-4 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 3.63% 0-4 @ 3.54% 2-4 @ 1.91% 1-5 @ 1.55% 0-5 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.89% Total : 61.89%